EURUSD — Market Outlook | SHORT trading plan of 14.04.2026
SHORT scenario of 14.04.2026 | an impulse towards the monthly fractal
Key Levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| Point A (invalidation) | 1.18493 |
| Target B | 1.14110 |
The focus is a bearish impulse towards the monthly fractal.
Higher-Timeframe Context
Higher-timeframe context
- Higher context: short
- Targets reached: monthly and quarterly liquidity
- Next targets: a correction into the discount zone of the monthly dealing range (M DR)
Market phase
- Market phase: impulse
- Basis: a reaction taken from the monthly fractal (M fractal → M RB + W FVG)
- Scenario: short towards the monthly fractal
Execution Context
Price position and interaction
- Price position: premium of the weekly range
- Interaction: M RB + W FVG
Priority and target
- Priority: short
- Nearest target: the low of the weekly dealing range (W DR)
- Next target: the monthly fractal
Invalidation
While price stays below the monthly reaction block (M RB), the bearish scenario remains valid.
Outcome
completed
The boundaries of these ranges can be checked for free: they are built from the extremes of the structure, and the extremes are drawn by our open indicator Focusprofit. Market Structure — published in the TradingView library, one click to add, no invite needed. Open the same data and build the boundaries yourself. The rest of the markup on the chart — order flow, imbalances, MTF — is added by the closed Trade Model.
Open in TradingView →4H Ranges
Ranges: 5 · worked out: 4 · did not: 1
| Formed | Boundaries | Outcome | Check |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | 1.16691 – 1.17873 | WIN | price went down to 1.16551 (30.04) — below the lower boundary; the upper 1.17873 held |
| 2026-04-30 | 1.16551 – 1.17550 | LOSE | price never went below 1.16551 — the low after formation was 1.16579; the upper boundary 1.17550 was broken on 01.05 at 12:00, high 1.17690 |
| 2026-05-21 | 1.15763 – 1.17967 | WIN | price went down to 1.14998 (08.06) — below the lower boundary; the upper 1.17967 held, the high was 1.16858 |
| 2026-06-08 | 1.14998 – 1.16858 | WIN | price reached 1.14179 (19.06) — below the lower boundary; the high in between was 1.16221, the upper 1.16858 held |
| 2026-06-19 | 1.14179 – 1.16221 | WIN | low after formation 1.13245 (24.06) — below the boundary; the high was 1.14808, the upper held |
Your thoughts?
Which scenario do you see on the euro: the impulse reaching the monthly fractal, or buyers reclaiming the monthly reaction block?
This is not investment advice. Analytical market structure overview.
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