EURUSD — Global Outlook: Market Structure and Trade Ranges
EURUSD has approached a higher-timeframe seller zone after the up-move developing since January 2025. Higher-timeframe structure points to a high probability of a correction toward the discount zone. Base case — a move down toward the monthly and weekly order flow (M OF / W OF).
In short: price is in premium near a higher-timeframe seller zone; base case — a correction toward discount (M OF / W OF); the key reaction zone is W MTV; priority — bearish continuation on confirmation from lower timeframes.
EURUSD — GLOBAL OUTLOOK MTF
Video breakdown of the EURUSD global market structure across timeframes 1M, 1W, 1D.
STRUCTURE AND KEY LEVELS
Monthly (1M)
Price swept the monthly fractal and reacted from the monthly rejection block (M RB). The market is in the premium zone, which raises the probability of a correction toward the monthly discount. Key zone: M OF 1.01775–1.12140.
Weekly (1W)
W MTV and W FVG zones have formed; since June 2025 — sideways compressive movement. Divergence between price and RSI confirms weakening buyer pressure. W MTV is the main reaction zone. Refining zone: W OF 1.07332–1.09548.
Daily (1D)
Price is approaching the W MTV zone; inside it sit the W FVG and M RB. The daily timeframe serves as the working context to confirm the downside scenario.
Key Levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| Interest zone (target) | M OF 1.01775–1.12140 |
| Refining zone | W OF 1.07332–1.09548 |
| Key reaction zone | W MTV |
| Current zone | premium (higher-timeframe seller zone) |
| Priority | bearish continuation on lower-timeframe confirmation |
The base downside scenario weakens if buyers regain control and price accepts above the higher-timeframe seller zone, cancelling the correction priority.
Published: 2026-03-25.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
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Is this trading signals?
No. This is market-structure analysis and trade-range analytics, not investment advice.
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How often is the outlook updated?
A global outlook stays relevant for 3–12 months. Updates are published on this page in the update log as structure changes.
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What is a trade range?
A zone where price balances between supply and demand. Learn more in the methodology section.
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Where can I find the full breakdown?
In the video above and in the original idea on TradingView (link in the source block above).
UPDATE LOG
- 2026-03-25 Global outlook published.
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