GER40 — Market Outlook | SHORT trading plan of 22.04.2026
SHORT scenario of 22.04.2026 | a reaction from the monthly fractal, target is the range low
Key Levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| Point A (invalidation) | 24798.00 |
| Target B | 21860.0 |
The focus is a bearish impulse towards the low of the weekly range.
Higher-Timeframe Context
Higher-timeframe context
- Higher context: short
- Targets reached: monthly and quarterly liquidity
- Next targets: a correction into the discount zone of the monthly dealing range (M DR)
Market phase
- Market phase: trend
- Basis: a reaction taken from the monthly fractal (M fractal → M MTV → W FVG → D RB)
- Scenario: short towards the low of the dealing range (W DR)
Execution Context
Price position and interaction
- Price position: premium of the weekly range
- Interaction: M MTV + W FVG
Priority and target
- Priority: short
- Nearest target: the low of the weekly dealing range (W DR)
Invalidation
While price stays below the high of the weekly range, the bearish scenario remains valid.
Outcome
not realised
The boundaries of these ranges can be checked for free: they are built from the extremes of the structure, and the extremes are drawn by our open indicator Focusprofit. Market Structure — published in the TradingView library, one click to add, no invite needed. Open the same data and build the boundaries yourself. The rest of the markup on the chart — order flow, imbalances, MTF — is added by the closed Trade Model.
Open in TradingView →4H Ranges
Ranges: 1 · worked out: 0 · did not: 1
| Formed | Boundaries | Outcome | Check |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | 23403.65 – 24248.00 | LOSE | price never went below the lower boundary 23403.65 — the low after formation was 23613.00; the upper 24248.00 was broken, high 25158.20 (06.05) |
Your thoughts?
Which scenario do you see on the index: a move down to the low of the weekly range, or buyers holding the premium?
This is not investment advice. Analytical market structure overview.
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