GER40 (DAX) — Global Outlook: Market Structure and Trade Ranges
Higher timeframes favour a bearish context. Base scenario — continuation lower toward the monthly discount zone; buyers regain control only on acceptance back above higher-timeframe resistance.
In short: higher timeframes favour a bearish context. Base case — a move toward the monthly discount zone (11,800–16,500). Key trigger — acceptance below 23,350.
GER40 — GLOBAL OUTLOOK MTF
Video breakdown of the GER40 (DAX) global market structure across timeframes 1M, 1W, 1D.
STRUCTURE AND KEY LEVELS
Monthly (1M)
Price reached the monthly order block inside the bullish order flow and sits in the premium zone. Nearest interest zones below: 18,800–22,700, then the monthly discount zone 11,800–16,500.
Weekly (1W)
Monthly fractal broken; a weekly MTV zone (maximum traded volume) is forming. Acceptance below 23,350 confirms seller strength. RSI divergence noted between the March 2025 and February 2026 extremes.
Daily (1D)
Within the weekly resistance, a daily MTV zone has already formed — an area relevant to the downside scenario by structure.
Key Levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| Higher-TF resistance | 23,350–25,500 |
| Interest zone below | 18,800–22,700 |
| Monthly discount (target) | 11,800–16,500 |
| Confirmation trigger | acceptance below 23,350 |
| Invalidation | acceptance above higher-TF resistance |
Published: 2026-03-13.
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
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Is this trading signals?
No. This is market-structure analysis and trade-range analytics, not investment advice.
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How often is the outlook updated?
A global outlook stays relevant for 3–12 months. Updates are published on this page in the update log as structure changes.
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What is a trade range?
A zone where price balances between supply and demand. Learn more in the methodology section.
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Where can I find the full breakdown?
In the video above and in the original idea on TradingView (link in the source block above).
UPDATE LOG
- 2026-03-30 Weekly plan (30 March – 6 April). Price tested the W MTV zone on a news backdrop but did not form a full correction into it. On the monthly and weekly there are still too few variables for a confident read — confirming a correction needs a weekly W RB; without it, priority stays with continuation lower. The end of the quarterly reporting period adds uncertainty.
- 2026-03-23 Weekly plan (23–30 March). The market confirmed the W MTV zone from the global scenario — the bearish context holds. Focus of the week: waiting for price to return into the W MTV zone for a test and a possible continuation lower. Base case — a wait-and-watch mode, observing the reaction in the key zone; sharp impulses without clear technical confirmation are possible.
- 2026-03-18 Weekly plan (16–23 March). Weekly plan published in a new format: global context, type of week and the expected delivery path for the week.
- 2026-03-13 Global outlook published.
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