Market Analysis / XAUUSD
MARKET IDEA · XAUUSD · SHORT

XAUUSD — Market Outlook | SHORT trading plan of 18.06.2026

SHORT scenario of 18.06.2026 | priority is the low of the daily dealing range (D DR)

Plan published: 2026-06-18    completed

XAUUSD plan chart — markup as published
XAUUSD plan chart — markup as published
Plan as of 2026-06-18

Key Levels

Level Value
Point A (invalidation) 4382.48
Target B 4023.49

Price sits in the premium zone of the daily dealing range and is testing the daily imbalance (D FVG → D RB).

Priority is a downward move towards the low of the daily dealing range (4023.49) inside the global short.

Higher-Timeframe Context

Higher-timeframe context

  • Higher context: short
  • Targets reached: the monthly dealing range (M DR) is formed
  • Next targets: a correction into the discount zone of the monthly dealing range (M DR)

Market phase

  • Market phase: trend
  • Basis: a reaction taken from the weekly zone (W FVG → D RB)
  • Scenario: short towards the monthly fractal
Monthly timeframe — higher context
Monthly timeframe — higher context

Execution Context

Price position and interaction

  • Price position: premium of the daily dealing range (D DR)
  • Interaction: the daily imbalance (D FVG → D RB)
  • Additional factors: an iFVG below as an intermediate zone

Priority and target

  • Priority: short
  • Nearest target: the low of the daily dealing range (D DR) — 4023.49
  • Next target: the discount zone of the monthly dealing range (M DR)
Daily timeframe — execution context
Daily timeframe — execution context

Invalidation

While price stays below the high of the daily dealing range (D DR), the bearish scenario remains valid.

What happened

Outcome

completed

XAUUSD outcome chart — how price moved after the plan was published
XAUUSD outcome chart — how price moved after the plan was published

The boundaries of these ranges can be checked for free: they are built from the extremes of the structure, and the extremes are drawn by our open indicator Focusprofit. Market Structure — published in the TradingView library, one click to add, no invite needed. Open the same data and build the boundaries yourself. The rest of the markup on the chart — order flow, imbalances, MTF — is added by the closed Trade Model.

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DISCUSSION

Your thoughts?

Which scenario do you see: a move to the low of the daily dealing range, or buyers holding the premium zone?

DISCLAIMER

This is not investment advice. Analytical market structure overview.

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