Market Analysis / XAUUSD
MARKET IDEA · XAUUSD · LONG

XAUUSD — Market Outlook | LONG trading plan of 09.07.2026

LONG (corrective) scenario of 09.07.2026 | priority is the weekly fractal in the premium zone

Plan published: 2026-07-09    IN PROGRESS

XAUUSD plan chart — markup as published
XAUUSD plan chart — markup as published
Plan as of 2026-07-09

Key Levels

Level Value
Point A (invalidation) 3941.75
Target B 4595.32

Price is in the discount zone of the weekly range, a reaction from the weekly fractal (W RB), interaction with the daily imbalance (D FVG).

Priority is an upward corrective move towards the weekly fractal in the premium zone (4595.32).

Higher-Timeframe Context

Higher-timeframe context

  • Higher context: short
  • Targets reached: the monthly dealing range (M DR) is formed
  • Next targets: a correction into the discount zone of the monthly dealing range (M DR)

Market phase

  • Market phase: correction
  • Basis: a reaction taken from the weekly fractal (W RB)
  • Scenario: long towards the weekly fractal in the premium zone
Monthly timeframe — higher context
Monthly timeframe — higher context

Execution Context

Price position and interaction

  • Price position: discount of the weekly dealing range (W DR)
  • Interaction: W fractal → D FVG

Priority and target

  • Priority: long (corrective)
  • Nearest target: 4595.32 — the weekly fractal in the premium zone of the weekly dealing range (W DR)
  • Context: a correction inside the global short
Daily timeframe — execution context
Daily timeframe — execution context

Invalidation

While price stays above the weekly reaction block (W RB), the corrective long remains valid.

What happened

4H Ranges

Ranges: 1 · worked out: 1 · did not: 0

Formed Boundaries Outcome Check
2026-07-06 3941.75 – 4144.01 WIN the upper boundary 4144.01 was broken on 22.07 at 13:00 — the bar high was 4155.75; the range worked out in the direction of the idea
DISCUSSION

Your thoughts?

Which scenario do you see: the correction reaching the weekly fractal in the premium zone, or sellers regaining control earlier?

DISCLAIMER

This is not investment advice. Analytical market structure overview.

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