Discount and a monthly FVG — a daily FVG reaction
A random 2023 bar on Dell stock, daily chart. Almost a year of correction and the first signs it is over. Price is in the discount of the daily range and interacts with a monthly FVG; weekly liquidity was taken right before it, and the reaction comes as a daily FVG. The target is the high of the daily range. Point A 86.93, point B 179.70; the idea is alive while price holds above point A. The indicator confirmed the direction: price is in a monthly imbalance with two order flows where they overlap. Point A was broken — the plan didn't work out: price fell just short of taking the inducement liquidity. There is no mistake in the hypothesis — a plan that doesn't work out is part of the job.
Watch the breakdown
We take a random bar in history, define the narrative, and read the market live — no scripts, just structure and facts.
Step by step
1. Working TF — daily, liquidity — weekly and monthly
2. Almost a year of correction — first signs it's over
3. We want a reaction from the discount
4. The setup sits in a monthly FVG, weekly liquidity taken before it
5. The reaction — a daily FVG
6. Three questions: where is price, what it interacts with, where it heads
7. The idea is alive while price holds above point A
8. Indicator: a monthly imbalance, two order flows, the direction matches
9. Point A broken — the plan didn't work out, that's part of the job
The order of the walkthrough
The working chart is daily, the confirmation comes on the daily or the four-hour, liquidity is looked for on the weekly and monthly.
The trend is read from the two latest trading ranges: almost a year of correction and the first signs it is over.
Liquidity is looked for in the discount: a monthly FVG with weekly liquidity taken right before it; the reaction is a daily FVG.
Three questions are asked before the entry: where price is, what it interacts with, where it heads — and where points A and B are. The invalidation is named in advance: the idea is alive while price holds above point A.
The indicator goes on after the manual markup. Here it confirmed the direction: price is in a monthly imbalance with two order flows where they overlap.
An honest outcome: point A was broken, the plan didn't work out. No mistake in the hypothesis — there was a plan, a target and a direction.
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