Market Analysis / GER40
MARKET IDEA · GER40 · LONG

GER40 — Market Review | LONG trading plan of 01.04.2026

LONG scenario of 01.04.2026 | correction into the weekly discount, target — the weekly imbalance

Plan published: 2026-04-01    completed

GER40 plan chart — markup as published
GER40 plan chart — markup as published
Plan as of 2026-04-01

Key Levels

Level Value
Point A (invalidation) 21860.00

The market is in a correction: price has reached the discount zone of the weekly range, brought there by the monthly fractal sweep. The priority is a local long targeting the weekly imbalance.

Higher-timeframe context

Week

  • Trend: upward
  • Trading range: weekly, marked on the chart as W DR
  • Price location: discount
  • Interaction: the monthly fractal is swept — the «x M» mark on the published chart
  • Target of the move: the weekly imbalance (W FVG) in the upper half of the range

Higher-timeframe focus

  • Direction: upward
  • Reaction area: the weekly reaction block (W RB) below price
  • Target: the weekly imbalance (W FVG)
Monthly timeframe — higher context
Monthly timeframe — higher context
Weekly timeframe — higher context
Weekly timeframe — higher context

Execution context

Working timeframe

  • Price location: the discount of the weekly range
  • A daily maximum-traded-volume zone (D MTV) has formed below price — the area where the buyer already took control
  • The monthly fractal sweep is done: liquidity below the low is collected, there is no acceptance underneath

Focus of the day

  • Point A: 21,860.00 — the low of 23.03.2026, the 12:00 MSK bar
  • Point B: the weekly imbalance (W FVG); the publication did not name the target as a number
Daily timeframe — execution context
Daily timeframe — execution context

Idea invalidation

The scenario holds while price stays above the weekly reaction block (W RB). A close below it invalidates the idea.

Review summary

  • 1W: upward range, price in the discount, monthly fractal swept
  • 1D: daily maximum-traded-volume zone below price, the correction is complete
  • Base scenario: a local long towards the weekly imbalance
  • Point A: 21,860.00
What happened

Outcome

completed

GER40 outcome chart — how price moved after the plan was published
GER40 outcome chart — how price moved after the plan was published

The boundaries of these ranges can be checked for free: they are built from the extremes of the structure, and the extremes are drawn by our open indicator Focusprofit. Market Structure — published in the TradingView library, one click to add, no invite needed. Open the same data and build the boundaries yourself. The rest of the markup on the chart — order flow, imbalances, MTF — is added by the closed Trade Model.

Open in TradingView →
DISCUSSION

What do you think?

Which scenario do you see: continued growth from the weekly discount, or sellers returning into the reaction area?

DISCLAIMER

This is not investment advice. An analytical review of market structure.

KEEP GOING

Related

SYSTEMATIC WORK WITH THE MARKET

This material is open: no application, nothing to pay. There is one paid product — the Trade Model indicator, and it is not on sale right now: we are taking signups for the queue.

JOIN THE QUEUE
Join the queue